Wheat crop to fall

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This summer’s wheat crop is expected to be down by nearly 40 per cent on last year, according the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board.

The AHDB predicts a UK wheat yield of around 10 million tonnes, compared with more than 16 million tonnes in 2019. As reported in the trade press, nabim produced a briefing notes on the current situation in June and July to inform all parts of the chain.

In May, the government published its planned tariff regime to apply from 1 January 2021 – and if there is no agreement on trade with thE EU, this could mean the application of a tariff of £79 per tonne on European wheat. 

nabim was immediately in touch with officials pointing out the risk to wheat costs, especially with a small UK crop in prospect; and earlier in July we wrote to ministers asking for a change to the tariff regime to enable the tariff free import of higher protein wheat (equivalent to UK group 1 specification).

In our submission we identified the uncertainty is already having an impact on markets and contingency planning.

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